Are US Stocks Too Expensive? 

September 2023 Newsletter In my August 2023 Newsletter, I discussed the problem of Market Breadth: too few stocks influencing the entire market. If you thought that was the only problem the market has, you would be wrong.  In this Newsletter, I am talking about how expensive US stocks are and why one day we might … Continue reading Are US Stocks Too Expensive? 

Why Does the Market Have Bad Breadth? 

August 2023 Newsletter In a few short months the portfolio has gone from a small beat to lagging by 2.4% - see performance stats further down. Don’t get me wrong, it’s still a nice return, but its concerning as the situation worsened at one point during the month, lagging by 3.5%. I usually start looking … Continue reading Why Does the Market Have Bad Breadth? 

How I Lost My Entire Investment!

May 2023 NewsletterIf you read my last newsletter, you will know that I made a speculative stock bet with First Republic Bank (FRC).  Banks are normally not speculative, they are usually pretty safe, but not in this case.  As mentioned before, banks exist almost solely based on the confidence that if you deposit your money … Continue reading How I Lost My Entire Investment!

Has The New Bull Market Just Begun?

Since last month, the market has swung back and surprisingly gained almost 6%. Who saw that coming? Keep in mind it’s early days… not yet time to start counting chickens. Nonetheless, as this is a monthly newsletter, I think it makes sense e to observe the effects of this latest market move on the hobby portfolio and assess how the new strategy is working out.

Why I Hate Energy Stocks… but Still Have Some

Every so often I review a sector within my portfolio to make sure that the individual positions still make sense. A review of my Energy stocks reminded me how much I despise that sector. Why? Because Energy stocks do not act like normal stocks. They have an additional level of complexity based on the underlying … Continue reading Why I Hate Energy Stocks… but Still Have Some

The Cost of Being Different

Originally published July 18, 2021 As most of you know, I have restructured the portfolio to be more defensive, i.e., I paired down high flyers like Shopify, Kinaxis, and Amazon, deviating away from communications and tech companies while increasing financials and energy. This deviation is a defensive move to counter the historically frothy market, particularly … Continue reading The Cost of Being Different